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Donald Trump may be leaving, but the flames he fanned burn ever brighter

For almost as long as the real-world horror show of 2020 has been playing out in the United States, President Donald Trump has been promising that his country is “turning the corner.”

And finally, entering the last month of the year, the bend in the road is actually visible on the horizon: multiple COVID vaccines are on the way; a new president has won the election; both of those changes raise the hope for sustained economic recovery.

Many Americans have been breathing a deep sigh of relief at the prospect of a smoother and less dangerous road ahead. Canadians who have been anxious that the raging flames of their neighbour’s dumpster fire might cross the property line and burn their own house down may well be ready to relax.

But like a Toronto Maple Leafs fan celebrating a three-goal lead in a playoff elimination game, the justified optimism, upon quick reflection, gives way to the realization that the hardest part may still lie ahead. Everyone can see there is light at the end of the tunnel — bright light, yes — but the road to reach it appears bumpier and more dangerous than the horrifying path already travelled.

The analogies may seem trite given the real-life tragedy that’s unfolding. As Canadians know all too well in an era of soaring caseloads and renewed lockdowns, COVID isn’t done with us yet. And too many Americans are learning that in the hardest way. this week are four times higher than they were during the previous devastating peak of the summer. Over 100,000 Americans are currently hospitalized with COVID, more than 20,000 in ICU units. Every state in the country is seeing increasing COVID deaths. On Thursday alone, 2,857 Americans died from it: a record high that is within 150 deaths of the number who perished on Sept. 11, 2001. In the weeks ahead, Americans might now expect a 9/11-scale loss of life every single day from the coronavirus.

President-elect Joe Biden has been working to communicate this horror and danger to the public: late last month he urged people (apparently with limited success) to stay isolated for the Thanksgiving holiday, on Thursday he proposed a voluntary mask mandate for the whole country for the first 100 days of his administration and confirmed he was keeping on Dr. Anthony Fauci in an elevated role.

But Biden is not president yet: the inauguration is not until Jan. 20. In the meantime, the man he’ll be replacing remains busy, apparently ignoring COVID, and working to sabotage Biden’s chances of success as president. Most famously by rejecting the election results and continuing to baselessly attack the integrity of the election, making the of his sizable number of supporters.

But that isn’t all of it: Trump has been who he sees as disloyal to him, to permanent administration staff jobs, , as many death-row inmates as possible, international and boxing in and to cement his own priorities, furiously , rolling back — just for starters.

A majority of Americans indicated in the election they were done with Trump, but he’s showing vividly that he isn’t done with them. In his final month and a half in office, he’s likely not just to continue loudly objecting to Biden’s victory, but doing as much as he can to make Biden’s presidency difficult.

Nowhere is this more evident than confronting the ongoing economic crisis that has accompanied the COVID pandemic’s devastation. Trump’s treasury secretary Steve Mnuchin recently placed more than $450 million in unspent COVID emergency lending dollars in an account that would make it inaccessible to Biden’s administration without further congressional authorization. It’s a move Democratic Sen. Sherrod Brown said was an attempt to “” ahead of Biden’s inauguration.

That comes as the outgoing Congress has been deadlocked on further economic relief measures, and as existing relief packages are set to dry up. Some members of Congress (and Trump) have pointed to upticks in job numbers though the last half of the year and decent stock market index prices as signs the economy continues to recover. But jobs never recovered to anywhere close to their pre-pandemic heights, and the most recent report shows the recovery stalling. With COVID surging to record highs, the economy is set to suffer further: as economist Daniel Zhao Friday, “Ultimately, the virus is in the driver’s seat. The virus is what determines the trajectory of the recovery.” Meanwhile, roughly 12 million people are set to see their unemployment benefits expire on the day after Christmas.

By Thursday, crafted by a bipartisan group of rank-and-file members of Congress (one scaled back dramatically from earlier Democratic proposals) appeared to have enough support to pass before a Dec. 11 deadline.

Friday, Democratic House Majority Leader Nancy Pelosi with vaccines on the way and Biden set to take over as president, said she was optimistic about “a new dynamic” that would “make all the difference in the world.” She said the compromise to keep the economy going — to put food on tables and pay bills for desperate people — appeared to her and to Biden as “at best, just a start.” But it was, she said, “a path forward” to get the country to a vaccine and a new president.

There is a light visible at the end of the tunnel. But finding a path to get to it without drastically more suffering and conflict may be as hard for Americans as anything that’s come before.

Edward Keenan is the Star’s Washington Bureau chief. He covers U.S. politics and current affairs. Reach him via email:

Olympian Hayley Wickenheiser urges Ontario’s gyms to switch to cohorts

Researchers behind a for containing workplace COVID-19 outbreaks say fitness facilities can use the same methods to avoid the fate of , a superspreader event that saw 54 primary cases of the virus last month. 

“We have been watching the situation unfold in Toronto around gyms and believe that the use of bubbles … would help the situation,” said Tyler Williamson, one of the nine authors of the Sept. 30 report,

Williams and his co-researchers argue in the report that the use of cohorts or “bubbles” in a workplace can limit potential outbreaks to a small number of employees as long as employees only interact with the people in their given cohort. 

If one member of a cohort becomes sick, everyone exposed within that cohort self-isolates while the rest of the workforce continues to work.

Hayley Wickenheiser, who earned four Olympic gold medals as a member of the Canadian women’s hockey team, is currently attending medical school in Toronto and co-authored the Sept. 30 study. She believes that fitness facilities in regions of Ontario not under red zone restrictions can apply the same cohorting principles in two ways: separation in space and separation in time. 

While cohorting in space – partitioning one gym into multiple separate facilities and dividing customers and staff between them – might only be feasible for large, open-concept gyms, she said virtually any fitness facility can implement some degree of cohorting in time.

“If you sequester people into time slots, and if you can get people into a more regular schedule without going across times, then you can kind of contain the number of interactions that are taking place between people and reduce the chance that a spreader event will take place over different groups,” she said.

Wickenheiser said gyms where people complete self-guided workouts could accomplish this by dividing operating hours into time slots and having clients sign up for a dedicated, unchangeable time slot each week, so that the same clients are reliably at the gym at the same time.

Facilities that offer pre-scheduled group classes could create more airtight cohorts by having clients commit to a specific class at the same time each week with the same instructor, without the ability to attend a different class. Instructors could be limited to teaching the same one or two classes each week. So if a client in one class tests positive for COVID-19, only that instructor’s one or two classes are potentially impacted, rather than the entire studio.

While this strategy would limit flexibility for staff and clients, Wickenheiser believes it’s worth it to provide the ability to prevent a facility-wide closure.

“We all have to be able to give up a little and sacrifice and if that’s what it takes to keep gyms going,” she said.

Chelsi Rodrigues owns and operates Whole Health Strength and Fitness, a small fitness centre in Cambridge. She believes the system Wickenheiser and her co-authors recommend should be workable for most gyms the size of hers.

“It’s not unrealistic, what they’re proposing,” she said. “At the end of the day, I don’t think anyone wants to get the virus.”

Rodrigues already offers scheduled fitness classes for up to 10 participants and uses a software application to keep track of everyone who enters the facility. None of her staff or clients have tested positive for COVID-19.

Her biggest challenge would be in staffing. Most of her trainers teach two classes per week, while her own class schedule is full. In order to further limit her contact with clients, she would need to hire additional staff.

“It would be more of a challenge for me because I’d have to step back and have them come in more,” she said.

Brian Fehst sits on the board of directors of the Ontario Society for Health and Fitness. He also believes sole-proprietor fitness centres might find it financially challenging to separate staff into cohorts, but said most would be willing to adopt the new strategy if it were ever mandated by public health.

“I think we’re already seeing a lot of acceptance of what the guidelines are and the facilities are really buying into it,” he said. “They’re saying, ‘This is important to protect our community health, so we’re going to be compliant.’”

For more information about the province’s COVID-19 guidelines for fitness facilities, visit .